Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.012381 0.015183 0.018775 0.023850 0.031069 0.041373 0.058036
2024-10-06 0.009061 0.012125 0.016611 0.024085 0.037253 0.062096 0.121855
2024-10-13 0.007050 0.009888 0.014361 0.022587 0.039253 0.077920 0.211061
2024-10-20 0.005968 0.008680 0.013214 0.022265 0.043038 0.102164 0.416680
2024-10-27 0.005442 0.008206 0.013111 0.023792 0.052029 0.156339 1.327779
2024-11-03 0.005072 0.007902 0.013205 0.025760 0.064166 0.257795 10.477335
2024-11-10 0.004775 0.007658 0.013337 0.027888 0.079566 0.459745 NaN
2024-11-17 0.004357 0.007114 0.012716 0.027832 0.087352 0.685109 NaN
2024-11-24 0.003978 0.006587 0.012022 0.027306 0.093004 0.990846 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003545 0.005900 0.010850 0.024987 0.087819 1.066869 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003225 0.005404 0.010038 0.023549 0.086409 1.275938 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003011 0.005098 0.009617 0.023224 0.091345 1.931120 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002899 0.005009 0.009755 0.025031 0.114971 7.416811 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002717 0.004756 0.009454 0.025261 0.129689 33.270084 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002481 0.004363 0.008732 0.023659 0.126400 71.443154 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002324 0.004123 0.008367 0.023316 0.135356 3833.508446 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002257 0.004069 0.008476 0.024946 0.172135 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 0.002206 0.004044 0.008660 0.027051 0.229750 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002158 0.004021 0.008844 0.029332 0.314827 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002053 0.003854 0.008581 0.029272 0.354167 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001946 0.003672 0.008248 0.028708 0.380194 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001805 0.003398 0.007603 0.026224 0.333386 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001695 0.003192 0.007147 0.024687 0.315829 NaN NaN